The conventional wisdom is that the economy and a president’s fate are closely tied. For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, part of the story has been that despite a strong labor market and economic growth, views of the economy and President Biden’s handling of it have been abysmal.
A lot of that likely had to do with inflation, rising interest rates and a declining stock market. Trends that, as of right now, have abated and even reversed. So what’s happened over the past three years and where are we headed? And what does all of that mean for November 2024?
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Joanne Hsu, who directs the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, and Neale Mahoney, economics professor at Stanford University.
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Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,pFD1lbg7mIM,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_pFD1lbg7mIM,The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
Website: http://fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: http://fivethirtyeight.com/store
Twitter: http://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/
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Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,Z9TIrYVGVlc,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_Z9TIrYVGVlc,538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
Website: http://fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: http://fivethirtyeight.com/store
Twitter: http://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/
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Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,Hv8Oo2dUWug,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_Hv8Oo2dUWug,In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll suggests that economic sentiment data might be even more warped by partisanship than we thought. After that, it’s another round of "Buy, Sell, Hold." Will the Senate confirm Tulsi Gabbard as director of national intelligence? Will President-elect Donald Trump pardon himself? Finally, the crew considers whether 2024 will go down as the death knell of the incumbent advantage.
Website: http://fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: http://fivethirtyeight.com/store
Twitter: http://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fivethirtyeight/
Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,aTovXTK7QBE,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_aTovXTK7QBE,Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy. Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
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Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,1,Since Thursday, the only story in American politics has been President Joe Biden's poor debate performance and what on earth Democrats are going to do about it. That was until today, when the Supreme Court ruled that American presidents have legal immunity for official acts.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, about the details of the Supreme Court's ruling. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich and Tia Yang discuss the continued fallout from the presidential debate.
Website: http://fivethirtyeight.com/
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Twitter: http://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fivethirtyeight/
Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,1,The conventional wisdom is that the economy and a president’s fate are closely tied. For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, part of the story has been that despite a strong labor market and economic growth, views of the economy and President Biden’s handling of it have been abysmal.
A lot of that likely had to do with inflation, rising interest rates and a declining stock market. Trends that, as of right now, have abated and even reversed. So what’s happened over the past three years and where are we headed? And what does all of that mean for November 2024?
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Joanne Hsu, who directs the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, and Neale Mahoney, economics professor at Stanford University.
Website: http://fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: http://fivethirtyeight.com/store
Twitter: http://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fivethirtyeight/
Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2