Demilitarisation Update June 13, 2023

Ukrainian Offensive Amid Week 2: NATO Rushes in More Armor as Losses Mount

The New Atlas

Update on the conflict in Ukraine for June 13, 2023

Ukraine in its second week of offensive operations is still struggling within Russia’s security zone, having failed to even reach Russia’s first major defensive lines;
The Western media is attempting to claim Ukrainian-held villages along the front equates to progress, yet these are villages the same Western media admitted Russia evacuated ahead of the offensive, preparing fully to include them as part of the security zone;
The Western media is also admitting heavy Ukrainian losses among German Leopard 2 tanks, engineering equipment, Bradley infantry fighting vehicles, MRAPs, and much more;
The US is scrambling to pass another “security assistance” package to replace lost Bradley and Stryker armored vehicles, however Ukraine’s ability to effectively use these in any quantity is prohibited by a lack of training, experience, logistics, and sustainment capabilities;
Some in the Western media propose Ukraine still has enough offensive potential to cut the “land bridge” between Crimea and the rest of Russia, however, Ukraine clearly will lose much of its combat capabilities doing so, leaving little to anything left to hold gains once the offensive grinds to a halt;
References:

CNN - Ukraine loses 16 US-made armored vehicles, group says, but Kyiv’s forces still gain territory (June 12, 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/12/europe/ukraine-offensive-battlefield-losses-progress-intl-hnk-ml/index.html

Modern War Institute at West Point - NEVER BRING A STRYKER TO A TANK FIGHT:
https://mwi.usma.edu/never-bring-stryker-tank-fight/

Reuters - Factbox: Ukraine's military supplies: What ground vehicles are Kyiv's allies sending? (January 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-military-supplies-what-ground-vehicles-are-kyivs-allies-sending-2023-01-20/

Forbes - The Ukrainian Army Has Already Lost Half Of Its Unique Leopard 2R Breaching Vehicles (June 11, 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/06/11/the-ukrainian-army-has-already-lost-half-of-its-unique-leopard-2r-breaching-vehicles/?sh=6ef541ca86fe

Scott of Kalibrated on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/squatsons

Scott of Kalibrated on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos

NYT - Defenses Carved Into the Earth (December 2022):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/14/world/europe/russian-trench-fortifications-in-ukraine.html

BBC - Ukraine offensive: What will it take for military push to succeed? (June 13, 2023):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65881261

Reuters - Frontline residents evacuated to Russian-controlled port before expected counter-offensive (May 12, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frontline-residents-evacuated-russian-controlled-port-before-expected-counter-2023-05-12/

VOA - US Providing $325 Million More in Aid for Ukraine (June 12, 2023):
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-providing-325-million-more-in-aid-for-ukraine-/7134105.html

The Duran - Fighting stuck in gray zone. Neocon escalation, tactical nukes:
https://youtu.be/GTgxoFj2Vmo

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